I've seen and read most of the articles. That 98% number is an estimate made by the WWF and is based on conversations with collectors in one specific area - the Philippines - and was made back in the days when cyanide was the capture method of choice. All of the articles that I've read reference the WWF estimate. I have yet to find a single reference to any sort of even semi-scientific study on the numbers.
As I mentioned earlier, I don't dispute the fact that the mortality rate is likely high, but when we throw around numbers that have no basis in fact we are doing the hobby a disservice.
The WWF has an agenda and it is to their advantage to claim high mortality rates.
The Ornamental Fish Trade Association also has an agenda and they claim that although Marine Ornamental fish only account for 0.001 % of all of the fish caught around the world (how'd they come up with that number?) it produces revenue of $590,000 per tonne of fish captured. According to them, this number is 372 times greater than the revenue generated by food fish (again, how'd they come up with these numbers?) Their claim is that because the fish are such a valuable resource and provides employment for a large number of people along the entire supply chain, it is in everyone's best interest to do everything in their power to keep mortality rates as low as possible. I note that they avoid making mention of any specific mortality rate.
All this is to say that I do believe that mortality rates are high, the industry is moving in the right direction by trying to totally eliminate cyanide capture, they are doing more and more to try and ensure a higher survival rate, and captive breeding programs are making great strides.
Oh yeah, this also shows that I'm bored on a Sunday evening
