It's hard to tell without a meter or without a reference. Seeing it everyday, you may never tell. Usually, they'll dim and the colors won't pop as much. I replace my DE's every 12 months just to be on the safe side (SE's at 9 months, PC/VHO's at 6 months). That may be a bit overkill, but I can always tell the difference and would rather be safe than sorry.