they might still be good, but it's really a matter of opinion. Your corals will adjust. Your BGM won't die, but it won't look as pretty either. you could try moving some corals down in the tank, but that's a real PITA. as the spectrum shifts it goes toward the red, which is the the end that gets filtered out first as water depth increases. so as the bulb ages it becomes less and less conducive to coral coloration. another way to tell is if you've seen an increase in nuisance algae, diatoms, etc. But if you water quality is solid, you still won't tell. trial and error my friend. time and experience are the best teachers.