I think we often confuse 0 detectable levels and "bottoming out" with complete elimination. This is why the focus is on "rapid" change with levels decreasing. Nothing has been 100% proven regarding the dinos we often hear about in our tanks, but science shows strong correlations between
sudden drops in nutrient levels to the onset of benthic dinos HABs. The following
experiment was conducted on a type of amphidinium
"We further found that under P-deficient condition, overall photosystem II quantum efficiency (
Fv/
Fm ratio) and Rubisco abundance decreased but not significantly, while cellular contents of carbon, nitrogen, and proteins increased significantly. These observations indicated that under P-deficiency, this dinoflagellate was able to continue photosynthesis and carbon fixation, such that proteins and photosynthetically fixed carbon could accumulate resulting in continued cell growth in the absence of division. This is likely an adaptive strategy thereby P-limited cells can be ready to resume the cell division cycle upon resupply of phosphorus."
Furthermore, every study that exists shows that dino toxicity skyrockets under P limited conditions. Also, there is a specific type of dino, the one they refer to as “red tide” that is specifically induced by p limitation.
The one common factor for dinos is their high ability to utilize dissolved organic phosphates for atp. So it’s more of a competitive chain situation. The study continues to show that growth rates in dino are very similar under replete and deplete conditions. This however is in isolation. When you factor in the competitive landscape, things change quite a bit.