Led life is measure a little different than floourescent/halide bulb. if i recall my training in industrial lighting right, with flourescent/halide bulbs, the life is equal to when 50% or more of the bulbs have burnt out. since leds themselves tend to not burn out as fast, the manufactures had to come up with a new way of measuring lifespan. The lifetime of a LED module is defined as the time it takes until its light output, or lumen maintenance, reaches 70% of the initial output. becaus of that change in measuring, this has led to quite a few customer service issues. there is quite a few other parts in a light beside the actual led that have a way higher chance to break (ex: the driver) before the leds themselves do.
im still new to the reefing world, so there is still alot i dont know about lighting with corals and leads to the next question: i wonder if ever year or 2 with the leds if you should use a par meter and recheck par, and increase intesity to match. 30% lumens drops is pretty big. but then again 10 hours a day is only like 3650 hours of 50k. so probably not a big difference from year to year. but from initial use to 3 years. could be quite a difference.
personally i think i would: try to replace fans, get a hold of par meter and check to see if your are getting the intesity you want, and double check the led pucks for any individual out diodes. heat is one of biggest killers of leds.