I don't really want to tell somebody to double the money they're spending and unless somebody comes along with that exact setup most of us can only guess. If I were going to suggest something it would probably be start with the 2 XR15s and rent a par meter and see where you're at. I could be completely wrong as my rocks aren't real high and I was running with the AB+ program. I did test a couple different intensities and even with them cranked there was a lot of spots that were lower than I wanted. Directly under the light on a high point of rock I was getting good numbers but that meant basically 3 spots, one under each puck at the highest point of the rock. How you run them/mount them will impact the par. But I wouldn't be shocked if you find that you're not quite where you want to be with just 2.
BRS has some good videos on lighting with their BRS/WWC hybrid method and they kinda seem to prefer more XR15s so you can space them differently over XR30s.
I also like my Aquatic life Hybrid fixture and feel like it helps with some of the shadowing.
So short version from some random guy over the internet that doesn't have that same tank or know much about your plans, if you want 2 XR15s I'd start there, rent or borrow a par meter and just be prepared that 2 may not be enough.